Passenger traffic growth in terms of passenger-kilometers is a combination of the travel demand (80%) and the flight frequencies (20%).

Analysing the market, short-term cycles are seen in conjunction with, and not contrary to, long-term megatrend analyses, as shown:

Fig.: 2.3.1 Ref,:AI-CM

passenger-kilometer growth rates from 1984 to 2000 for different regions would be:

Fig.: 2.3.2 Ref.:AI-[3]


This passenger-kilometer growth rate will lead, including the expected changes between 2001 and 2009, to an average seat growth for the different regions of:

Fig.: 2.3.3 Ref.:AI-[l]

An UHCA was born